Seasonality Scanner

Uncover recurring annual patterns in any asset. Track price movements over years to find seasonal trends and time your trades with confidence.

Category

Analysis

Inspired By

• TradingView Seasonals
• Seasonax
• Moore Research Center

Features

Seasonal Pattern Analysis

• Multi-Year Overlay: Compare 5, 10, 20 years of data
• Monthly Patterns: Best/worst months historically
• Weekly Patterns: Day-of-week tendencies
• Hourly Patterns: Intraday seasonality (forex sessions)
• Pattern Strength: Statistical confidence scoring

Pattern Detection

• Strong Seasons: 70%+ win rate over 10+ years
• Weak Seasons: Historical underperformance periods
• Seasonal Ranges: Typical high-low ranges by month
• Anomaly Detection: Current year vs historical average

Calendar Events

• Earnings Season: Q1/Q2/Q3/Q4 patterns
• Tax Season: April selling/buying patterns
• Holiday Effects: Santa Rally, January Effect, Sell in May
• Expiration Effects: Monthly/quarterly options expiry
• FOMC/NFP Effects: Rate decision and jobs report patterns

Commodities Specialization

• Crop Cycles: Planting/harvest seasonality
• Energy Patterns: Summer/winter demand cycles
• Metals: Industrial vs safe-haven cycles
• Soft Commodities: Weather-based patterns

Signal Generation

• Seasonal Entries: Buy/sell at optimal seasonal points
• Confirmation: Combine with technical analysis
• Risk Adjustment: Position size by confidence level
• Exit Timing: Optimal seasonal exit points

Usage

import { SeasonalityScanner } from 'kit-trading/skills/seasonality-scanner';

const scanner = new SeasonalityScanner();

// Analyze monthly seasonality
const patterns = await scanner.analyze('AAPL', {
  years: 15,
  granularity: 'monthly'
});

// Get best months to buy
const bestMonths = patterns.filter(m => m.winRate > 0.7);

// Get current seasonal signal
const signal = await scanner.getSignal('SPY');
// { direction: 'bullish', confidence: 0.78, reason: 'December historically +1.5%' }

API Endpoints

• GET /api/seasonality/:symbol - Full seasonal analysis
• GET /api/seasonality/:symbol/monthly - Monthly breakdown
• GET /api/seasonality/:symbol/weekly - Day-of-week analysis
• GET /api/seasonality/calendar - Upcoming seasonal events
• GET /api/seasonality/screener - Filter by seasonal strength